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Geek Culture / 97% Owned

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Matty H
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Posted: 1st May 2012 19:31
New documentary, kind of a 'money as debt' for the UK.

Here.

I've been looking at this for a while now and they describe the system accurately, it's pretty hard to believe at first.

For me it explains lots of things that politicians don't seem to want to explain. Like how can we lend £10 billion to the IMF? Or why have house prices risen so high? It all becomes clear when you understand how the system currently works.

This is not a political issue, all major parties go along with this system. The thread could be locked if people post about one party or another.

Michael P
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Posted: 1st May 2012 21:20 Edited at: 1st May 2012 21:39
Alot of the information in that video is propaganda.

This should be locked as its a highly political topic.

PAGAN_old
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Posted: 2nd May 2012 00:00 Edited at: 2nd May 2012 00:07
Looks interesting, I think ill take a look at it
I love british accents, When british people start swearing, it sounds graceful (one of the reasons i am watching this, altho it sounds like more of the same kind of info i saw in other documentaries about this type of thing)


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Matty H
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Posted: 2nd May 2012 01:06
Quote: "Alot of the information in that video is propaganda.

This should be locked as its a highly political topic."


Wow, I'm really surprised at that response Michael P. It's not political, it's how our monetary system works. Some people argue that bank credit is not money, perhaps this is where you are coming from? But even then it's not political, just a difference of opinion of how banks operate.

Just to re-iterate, monetary systems are many, some people want gold to back our money, some people think we should have many competing currencies, it's nothing to do with politics, more economics or social engineering.

PAGAN_old
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Posted: 2nd May 2012 02:19
it just occured to me that i live in russia, where the ecomomy crashed/hyperinflated 3 times in the 90s, and i still have no idea how russian economy works like if its backed by gold or just controlled by the government or a private bank. i should look it up
I only learned how american money system operates only after i moved from the US so thats not useful to me anymore .


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Diggsey
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Posted: 2nd May 2012 17:51
This is definitely mostly propaganda.

Some warning signs, which are obvious even from the first minute or so:
- It pretends to be a documentary but makes no attempt to be unbiased.
- Lots of repetition of the same empty statements with no factual information aside from numbers taken out of context and used for effect.
- It assumes the only explanation for everything must be that it's a conspiracy against us. Sure politicians don't tell us in huge detail about how the monetary system works - they're not teachers, that's what education is for, and that information is freely available for anyone who wants it.

I don't know everything about how the monetary system works, but what I do know has been presented in a very misleading way in the video, so it doesn't make my inclined to take the rest of it at face value.

[b]
Matty H
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Posted: 2nd May 2012 18:15
Quote: "Lots of repetition of the same empty statements with no factual information aside from numbers taken out of context and used for effect."


Yes, it does not go into great deal about where the figures come from so I can see why people may be sceptical but:

Quote: "and that information is freely available for anyone who wants it."


This is true and I have looked at it and it backs up what they are saying, you can get the information from the Bank of England website.

Quote: "It pretends to be a documentary but makes no attempt to be unbiased."


Perhaps it is biased, there are people out there with a good understanding who think the current system is fine. There are advantages to allowing banks to create credit and the film does not go into this.

Quote: "Sure politicians don't tell us in huge detail about how the monetary system works"


I don't think they are trying to hide anything, they simple don't know how it works. Like everyone else, they presume the Bank of England creates all the money and banks just match savers to borrowers.

Nateholio
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Posted: 4th May 2012 10:27
Didn't watch the video but I'm pretty sure I know what it was on about.

Bottom line is that, unless you want huge and endless spending sprees by the authority who is ordering the paper to be printed, money with intrinsic value (gold, silver, &&c) is the only way to go.

Prices of most goods aren't climbing due to supply problems or greed on the part of manufacturers/suppliers, it's mostly due to out of control amounts of fiat currency being issued then blown on a myriad of things by the issuing authority. There's no political side (for the most part) to this, it's just the reality of having fiat currencies and fractional reserve banking. We all hear people yammering on about sustainable this and sustainable that...but this system IS NOT sustainable.

An ounce of gold (not the face value of a coin) today will still buy you around the same amount of goods as it did 100 years ago. For those of us in the US, you can pull historical charts for price/oz of gold going back to the 1800s. You'll note that when we went off the gold standard and the gov't confiscated privately held gold, the "price" for gold inched up a bit but held relatively steady (because we still had silver). When we finally went off silver you'd notice things inched up again then skyrocketed.

Also for those in the US, the whole thing seems to be a scheme. The treasury of the federal gov't prints the fiat currency then "gives" it to the Federal Reserve (a private entity with limited gov't oversight) who then charges the gov't to use the very same currency they printed. Although this seems a dirty scheme (IMHO it is), it's the way this fiat system must work to prevent (in theory) gov't from just printing a googolplex worth of paper money and flooding the market with it.
Bringing that up might be going a bit too far on the forum here. But if trying to educate people about how our system works and dispel the conspiracy rumors is considered too far, we are indeed in a sad state of affairs.

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Matty H
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Posted: 4th May 2012 16:37
I totally understand why people support a gold backed currency, the fact that you can't easily expand the supply would solve some problems.

I must say that I would hate to think we have to go on a gold standard because as a society we can't trust anyone to keep the correct quantity of money in circulation, that seems bizarre. I think the responsibility should be removed from the banks but also be kept away from governments, both of these can abuse the power for their own gain.

Quote: "Although this seems a dirty scheme (IMHO it is), it's the way this fiat system must work to prevent (in theory) gov't from just printing a googolplex worth of paper money and flooding the market with it."


The system can work any way we can imagine it to, fiat currencies have been successful in the past, but they have also been abused. The banks have flooded the market with money(cheap credit) as it was profitable for them to do so. So we have not avoided that pitfall.

I agree with a lot of your post though, you have obviously looked into how the system works.

PAGAN_old
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Posted: 5th May 2012 09:57 Edited at: 7th May 2012 08:26
i think we should do away with money altogether

[EDIT] today i found out something completley insane!
I could never wrap my head around the concept of how modern economic model works. then i found out about the federal reserve system and today someone told me that the US fed reserve controlsentire economies whose currency are backed by amound of dollars they have in reserves and the price of oil in dollars. i knew about the fed reserve and its prototype- central bank of england and that some countries have their own central bank-type system. I had no idea that ots actually part of the same system. Today i was told that the central bank of Russia (i live in russia) was sucked into this system in 1991. This information opened up my mind to how this model of economic system works.

Everything makes sence to me for the first time in a while!


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Matty H
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Posted: 8th May 2012 19:29
@PAGAN

I must admit that looking into how the monetary system works at an international level is on my to-do list.

The dollar is the world reserve currency for the most part, but this can change at any time. Some people seem very confident that the dollar will be abandoned by other nations in the near future.

bitJericho
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Posted: 8th May 2012 20:00
If you guys believe in gold standard, why not just invest in bitcoins? We've already got the technology to do it ourselves!

(Yes, I realize there is not a lot of places accepting bitcoin right now/yet)

Matty H
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Posted: 8th May 2012 21:12
Quote: "If you guys believe in gold standard, why not just invest in bitcoins? "


I do not believe a gold standard is a good solution. Although it's good that there are different things being tried like the bitcoin, it shares at least one flaw along with gold. You have to spend time and resources mining for gold/bitcoin.

I can imagine large corporations mining asteroids for gold so shareholders can get rich(putting aside the fact that mining asteroids may be worthwhile one day for productive resources). It would seem like a massive waste of time/effort and resources when you can create a £10 note for around 4p

If fiat currency fails to do its job then gold/silver will always have a role to play, which is a shame imo.

PAGAN_old
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Posted: 8th May 2012 22:55 Edited at: 8th May 2012 23:02
I am currentley reviewing events in russia in the last 10-20 years this time taking into accout that russian financial system was highjacked. its a completley different picture. Considering that noone knows about the russian central bank as financial news are boaring Now instead of a normal medioclre Putin who gambles on oil for economic growth, whike ignoring to fund the things people actually need, now i see a different Putin who spent all his time in power trying to control and influence the russian central bank preventing it from doing any more damage while slowly buildiong up its militare industrial complex for safety insurance when he could finally take real action against his central-bank either nationalising it for good or confiscatinhg the printing press.


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Nateholio
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Posted: 9th May 2012 01:12
Quote: "If you guys believe in gold standard, why not just invest in bitcoins"


If it ain't physically in your possession then it doesn't exist. Your IRAs, stocks, &&c can be "nationalized" by gov't. Even then you might have to worry about another metals confiscation such as happened here in the US in the 30s.

I always get "but that can't happen now" from people. Don't be so sure of it, it has happened numerous times before by various gov'ts and WILL happen again.

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PAGAN_old
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Posted: 9th May 2012 23:52 Edited at: 9th May 2012 23:58
Quote: "If it ain't physically in your possession then it doesn't exist. Your IRAs, stocks, &&c can be "nationalized" by gov't."

Well they already nationalized a bunch of things that dont exist like debt (which dosent really matter anyway) and stocks and bonds and stuff Why cant they nationalise bitcoins which i consider to be more real than most of the papers on wallstreet.

Actually, russia recognises bitcoins. The public pay terminals they have everywhere can convert your real money into bitcoins as well as tons of other stuff like pay bills and WoW subsriptions, buy steam games, be a deposit only ATM. one of the reasons i love russia. In the states paying for my cellphone was hell.

yes dollar in theory is backed by valuable paper on wallstreet for the most part. Some stocks like companies that produce stuff do have real value. other stock like stock of another stock of some stock market insurance thing, is fictional value. And whenever they need something of value quick, they can just make up whatever and put value on it.

Altho i find bitcoins to be more valuable knowing the effort and the programming of the whole system and the architecture. Id say the bitcoin system has more work put into it than some of the empety papers (not even physical paper) on wallstreet. I just finished this russian documentary on the financial crisis, didnt understand half the stuff they talked about when talking about dirivitives (which i think are the these papes with fictional value attached to it like bonds or insurance which)

but i got the general idea that the things that are going on in stock trade auctions that determine the value of currencies are unimaginaly far from reality i cant even wrap my head around it. I wonder why they even have wallstreet, there is Los Vegas and other territories with legal casinos.

not sure if this is true or not but under conditions of normal economyprinting any amount of currency does not cause inflation if that amount is used to finance research/development, modernisation industrialization, mechanisation, you know infrustructure stuff. i may be mistaken. maybe its if you use that money to upgrade and improve manufacturing of a consumer product.

i am sure this is a known fact but i think, that if you dedicate extra amount of money towards technological evolution- thats not supposed to cause inflation. the economy will keep growingas long as technology evolves and improves. Maybe physical currency could be some physical high/nano tech thing that takes actual effort and resourses to develop, like a prosessor chip.


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Nateholio
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Posted: 10th May 2012 00:03
Quote: "not sure if this is true or not but under conditions of normal economyprinting any amount of currency does not cause inflation if that amount is used to finance research/development, modernisation industrialization, mechanisation, you know infrustructure stuff. i may be mistaken. maybe its if you use that money to upgrade and improve manufacturing of a consumer product."


Fiat currency is like any other item, including gold. The more of it the less value each instance of it has regardless of what it's used for. There are a few schools of thought on this, one being the Austrian School, which I believe is correct. Other Schools argue that debt-spending and other things can be used to stimulate economies. In the interest of not getting this thread locked I will leave the opinions on economics at that. However, history does tell.

If gold were as common as iron, it wouldn't be anywhere near as valuable as it is. Of course, this doesn't take into account what people are willing to trade (or pay) for gold based on its attributes or the amount of resources req'd to extract it from the earth.

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PAGAN_old
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Posted: 10th May 2012 04:22
I had a thought just now, Gold is rare, but as far as i know, its completley useless for anything other than coins because its a pretty soft metal. Jewlers use alloys? of gold mixed with other metals to keep it from bending too easily.


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Nateholio
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Posted: 10th May 2012 04:57 Edited at: 10th May 2012 04:59
Quote: "I had a thought just now, Gold is rare, but as far as i know, its completley useless for anything other than coins because its a pretty soft metal"


Yeah, it's pretty useless for most everyday things. But that's what makes it a good store of value. Others are that scarcity, reactivity, portability, appearance, and that it's elemental.

Examples:



Jewelers do often use alloys due to gold's plasticity. Gold coin really doesn't need to worry about plasticity though; coins were thick enough to put up with most abuses currencies run into. Add to that milling (putting ridges along the edge of a coin...http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milled_coinage) and stamping coin faces, and you get a pretty secure currency.

An interesting side-note...


I used to hate history class in high school, but now history has become one of my favorite things to read about. Well, history which directly relates to my own well-being at least. Unfortunately there are too many people telling us to "look forward" and not study the past nowadays. If you forget the past, you're doomed to repeat it!

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Keep your Hope and Change, I choose individual Liberty!
bitJericho
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Posted: 10th May 2012 19:52 Edited at: 19th May 2012 00:36
From what I've heard gold would be extremely useful in electronics.

Quote: "If it ain't physically in your possession then it doesn't exist. Your IRAs, stocks, &&c can be "nationalized" by gov't. Even then you might have to worry about another metals confiscation such as happened here in the US in the 30s.

I always get "but that can't happen now" from people. Don't be so sure of it, it has happened numerous times before by various gov'ts and WILL happen again."


That's kind of the benefit of bitcoins. You keep your keys in your possession and they are yours (your keys would be akin to gold bars or whatever), and since it's decentralized, over 50 percent of the network would have to be controlled by one entity (maybe impossible now?).

One part of the network cut off from the rest only needs something like 2 nodes to sync everything back up in a matter of minutes. For example, if Iran got cut off, just a couple satellite links could fix it.

Matty H
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Posted: 18th May 2012 19:51
12 year old making same point



Nateholio
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Posted: 18th May 2012 21:19
Pretty sad when even a 12yo gets it but those which make policy don't.

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TheComet
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Posted: 18th May 2012 23:22
This film is well worth watching:



Also, here's a great video on how banks work:



TheComet

Matty H
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Posted: 3rd Jun 2012 23:42 Edited at: 3rd Jun 2012 23:45
I have that film TheComet, pretty depressing but yet very entertaining, when they try to justify $125,000,000 bonus for a years work playing(corrupting) the stock market, not producing or contributing to society/economy in any way, priceless

The 'money as debt' is also interesting, that's the first vid I ever saw on the matter.

Try this one, you only need to watch the first one to get the point. He explains reasons for why house prices are so high(in proportion to income), and why it's getting worse. It's pretty convincing, I would challenge anyone to come up with an alternative explanation for why people on average are being more and more disenfranchised and why more of more of our income goes on interest payments.



You obviously don't need to buy into this but these questions should be being asked, and answered.


EDIT: I predict in the next 20-30 years people will have intergenerational mortgages, basically your kids will pay the rest of your debts for the family home when you retire. This will have to happen if the current system is to be propped up for much longer.

Nateholio
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Posted: 4th Jun 2012 09:42 Edited at: 4th Jun 2012 10:14
Quote: "pretty depressing but yet very entertaining, when they try to justify $125,000,000 bonus for a years work playing(corrupting) the stock market, not producing or contributing to society/economy in any way, priceless"


And just who decides what "contributing to society/economy" is? If you ask an ar-teest, they will swear up and down that they contribute to the economy. If you ask an industrialist such as myself, I would say they don't, but those that mine/drill and manufacture contribute to an economy.

Quote: "He explains reasons for why house prices are so high(in proportion to income), and why it's getting worse."


He's exactly right. The problem is the ability to create money out of thin air. This causes inflation if an equal amount of money isn't drawn from the economy. This appears to be one of the functions of the IRS here in the US. The Fed pumps currency into the economy, and the IRS sucks it out. The problem (of MANY) is that the IRS doesn't remove an equal amount of currency, causing inflation.

Quote: "why people on average are being more and more disenfranchised"


People are "disenfranchised" by their own actions. I have no pity for them. You don't have to take out loans to buy things. It's a thing our grandparents used to do called "saving", "spending intelligently", and "layaways". Of course, this doesn't account for REAL "disenfranchisement" due to gov'ts defecit spending and resulting inflation. Taxation through inflation.

Quote: "I predict in the next 20-30 years people will have intergenerational mortgages, basically your kids will pay the rest of your debts for the family home when you retire."


Can't happen (in the US at least) unless gov't decides that debt can be pushed onto the estate of those who had no hand in assuming said debt. This already happens through things such as welfare, bailouts, &&c; but doesn't happen in the example you gave.

Gov't control of currency is as bad as central banks (Fed, Bank of England, &&c) controlling currency. This is why in the US the gov't was only GRANTED power to COIN gold and silver and to determine the value thereof. I believe I already touched on it here, but will again.

Used-ta-was, once upon a time when We had a Constitutional Federal Republic (three very specific and important words), gov't only COINED gold/silver. An individual or mining company would bring their gold/silver to the mint to have it assayed and minted into coin. The mint either coined it on the spot, or usually, took the metal in return for coin then struck new coin using the metal. There was no way for gov't to just issue coin or create it from thin air; therefore, almost zero inflation.
As for "determining the value thereof"....when the US was getting started back in the late 1700s, MANY types of currencies were in use, most notably the Spanish Milled Dollar (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_dollar). Power was GRANTED to the federal gov't to determine values of all these currencies in relation to the new US coin. This power didn't mean the gov't could print a note and say it was worth $1 or $1000.
The final "lock and check" on this system was that States could only make gold and silver coin tender in payment of debts. States could only accept gold/silver as payments for taxes and such, and could only pay their own debts in gold/silver.

Now fast forward to the uh...intelligent...policies and programs (let's copy mainland Europe, that sounds like an excellent idea!) which started to be heavily implemented in the 1930s in the US, and you can see where the root of the problem lies (for the US). Politicians needed to come up with a way to pay for massive social programs, military spending, and other gov't spending. Enter a central bank, fiat currency, and the seizing of privately held gold.

History has proven time and again that these policies, programs, and economic ways can't last. They ultimately bankrupt a nation. Unfortunately, there are too many here in the US who only want to "look Forward" and "Progress". If you don't look at history, you are doomed to repeat it.

Here's a "paper" I wrote one day when considering wealth vs. riches, and what wealth really is.



Related to the subject of this thread...I'd recommend trading some of those worthless fiat notes for copper, silver, and gold bullion. Copper is about $3/lb, silver $28/oz, and gold $1600/oz. There are three other things I'd recommend investing in, but I believe they're inappropriate for this forum...just think what you'd need during a "zombie apocalypse".

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Matty H
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Posted: 4th Jun 2012 17:26 Edited at: 4th Jun 2012 17:28
Quote: "And just who decides what "contributing to society/economy" is? If you ask an ar-teest, they will swear up and down that they contribute to the economy. If you ask an industrialist such as myself, I would say they don't, but those that mine/drill and manufacture contribute to an economy."


Yes, I agree with you but artists etc do improve our lives so they contribute, although not in the same way. The film was making the point that these guys crashed the economy, and got well paid before and after the crash. I don't have a problem with someone earning $125 million even if they are an artist, but not a thief.

Quote: "He's exactly right. The problem is the ability to create money out of thin air. This causes inflation if an equal amount of money isn't drawn from the economy. This appears to be one of the functions of the IRS here in the US. The Fed pumps currency into the economy, and the IRS sucks it out. The problem (of MANY) is that the IRS doesn't remove an equal amount of currency, causing inflation."


Made complicated by the fact that money may only inflate what it is being created for(houses, most new money goes into property via mortgage lending) which makes it unfair to tax everyone higher to compensate. This is one of the points the guy in the video was making, the debt money system leads to higher taxes.

Quote: "People are "disenfranchised" by their own actions. I have no pity for them. You don't have to take out loans to buy things. It's a thing our grandparents used to do called "saving", "spending intelligently", and "layaways". Of course, this doesn't account for REAL "disenfranchisement" due to gov'ts defecit spending and resulting inflation. Taxation through inflation."


It depends if you agree with the video that house prices are illegitimate, it does not matter if people are paying more interest for inflated house prices or if they rent(inflated rent also), more and more of their earnings will be propping up this system. People need a place to live so I can't see how it's their fault for going into debt or paying more in rent.

I'm going out now but I will look at your post in more detail later

Matty H
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Posted: 18th Jun 2012 15:49
Quote: "You don't have to take out loans to buy things"


This gets right to the heart of the matter, I can't believe I missed it first time around. Anyone who agrees with the above statement does not understand our monetary system.

97% of the numbers in our bank accounts were created by people taking out loans to buy things(or start a business etc). The minute people stop borrowing the money supply starts to shrink, business's struggle, households struggle, people lose property or other possessions.

People paying off their debts leads to less money to facilitate trade and we get all kinds of negative affects on the economy.

What we need is people(or governments) to borrow more, this is crazy but it is how our monetary system works.

It is mathematically impossible for people as a whole to buy things without going into debt. People who support this monetary system say this does not matter as all money has to be a debt, I disagree but it's the system we have so more borrowing please everyone

Benjamin
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Posted: 18th Jun 2012 16:33
Quote: "What we need is people(or governments) to borrow more, this is crazy but it is how our monetary system works."


I thought the whole crisis was because of people borrowing too much (ie. more than they could afford), putting themselves in massive debt.



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bitJericho
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Posted: 18th Jun 2012 16:59
Quote: "I thought the whole crisis was because of people borrowing too much (ie. more than they could afford), putting themselves in massive debt."


That seems to be the general consensus.

Matty H
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Posted: 19th Jun 2012 20:33
Quote: "That seems to be the general consensus."


Yes, this is the general consensus.

Once you know how money is created things start to become a little clearer. It explains why in a debt crisis we are so concerned about getting banks lending again, it also helps explain the need for compound growth and why it's so bad when we don't keep at a certain level of growth.

People make the mistake of comparing an economy to a household.

If a household pays down debts then they have more income for other things = good. This is because they have an external income which is unaffected.

If an economy pays down it's debts then the money supply dries up = bad. We are at the mercy of banks finding debtors to keep the economy moving.

Nateholio
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Posted: 19th Jun 2012 21:58 Edited at: 19th Jun 2012 22:02
Quote: "Anyone who agrees with the above statement does not understand our monetary system. "

You obviously missed me explaining how this boondoggle of a monetary system works.

Quote: "What we need is people(or governments) to borrow more, this is crazy but it is how our monetary system works."

That works just fine if you are a Keynesian and/or love central planning. Right now, China and Russia are the only major industrialized nations with half a brain, issuing metal-backed currency. Another thing people have no clue about is that the more currency brought into existence, the less the currency they have in their bank account is worth. They wonder why the price of gas and other goods appear to be rising but are too ignorant (because they're glued to reality shows, sports, games, the lives of celebs, &&c) to realize what's going on. This plays right into the hands of gov't - people will complain about prices and beg their overlords to do something about it.
Collectivists will say that this is bad because currencies pinned to metal don't allow for economic expansion (leading to difficulties paying for expanding social and military programs - oh the horror!). This is utterly false. These currencies don't allow for debasing the currency or expanding the currency supply at the whim of banks or gov't. They do allow economic expansion because, while the value of the currency wouldn't change much, the value of products relative to the currency would.
Let's say that you can buy a car for 10 ounces of gold today. Ten years later, after more cars have been made yet the amount of currency hasn't changed much, you could buy the same car for one ounce of gold. All products in the economy would become less valuable relative to the currency as more are made.
Have fun remaining in the shackles of central banks and gov't with this fiat currency!

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Keep your Hope and Change, I choose individual Liberty!
Matty H
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Posted: 20th Jun 2012 01:20
@Nateholio

I do feel you are correct when you advise to get hold of some gold, the current monetary system is a joke, very comparable to a ponzi scheme and we know what happens there eventually.

Only the problem I am trying to highlight would not be solved with a gold backed currency, obviously this is fine if you don't feel that banks expanding the money supply is a problem.

Gold is scarce, just like coins and cash are now(3%) which means banks can solve this scarcity by creating digital money(97%), we are then dependent on more and more loans. It was the gold smiths who first discovered this and used it to make themselves very rich, they also facilitated more trade in their economies so at times perhaps this was a good thing. Only they always go too far, inflating the money supply, bubbles, booms, whether that be stocks or housing or perhaps student loans for the next one?

The monetary system has been very unstable ever since the goldsmiths started lending money they never had, just like banks do today, so I personally don't believe gold is the answer.

Libervurto
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Posted: 21st Jun 2012 23:51
Quote: "And just who decides what "contributing to society/economy" is? If you ask an ar-teest, they will swear up and down that they contribute to the economy. If you ask an industrialist such as myself, I would say they don't, but those that mine/drill and manufacture contribute to an economy."

What a horribly dull view of civilisation. So Shakespeare, Mozart and van Gough never contributed anything to society?

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Jeku
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Posted: 23rd Jun 2012 01:49
I've been buying 5 or 6 ounces of silver every few weeks for the past few months. It's some kind of insurance if I have to pick up and move to another part of the world if the crap hits the fan where I am now. Canada isn't in as bad a shape as the USA, but their actions cause ripples effects on our job force.


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Matty H
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Posted: 23rd Jun 2012 02:04
Quote: "I've been buying 5 or 6 ounces of silver every few weeks for the past few months. It's some kind of insurance if I have to pick up and move to another part of the world if the crap hits the fan where I am now. Canada isn't in as bad a shape as the USA, but their actions cause ripples effects on our job force."


I think this is a good move, if for no other reason that it may be more likely to hold it's value, if it goes up then bonus. In the UK savers are losing out to inflation.

I advised my parents to invest a small portion of their money in physical gold, they never went for it

Don't get me wrong though, I don't feel I know what's going to happen, but it makes good sense to hedge your bets, so either way you don't lose everything.

As for 'contributing to society', I would like to defend Nateholio, I think what he meant is some people contribute towards necessities of life(food and shelter), while other things are a more luxury. There are many things which fit on that scale at different points.

Nateholio
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Posted: 23rd Jun 2012 09:15
Quote: "The monetary system has been very unstable ever since the goldsmiths started lending money they never had, just like banks do today, so I personally don't believe gold is the answer."

Yes, fractional reserve banking is one of the roots of the problem. But a commodity such as gold is the answer because you can trade it for another commodity; that is until gov'ts get around to banning that, which I personally believe will happen. People having commodities to trade for other commodities takes power and ability to control from gov't, and gov't can't have that now can they?

Quote: "What a horribly dull view of civilisation. So Shakespeare, Mozart and van Gough never contributed anything to society?"

A powerful and influential civilization isn't rooted in art, entertainment, games, &&c. These things are the fruit of a civilization who has a solid bedrock built on industry, and are an important component of a great civilization. In a civilization which exists in a vacuum, the order of survival isn't art then industry. How much did the individuals you mentioned push technology to the point it is today? Would your car, computer, radio, &&c exist if they didn't produce their arts? Now, if Ford, Babbage, Marconi\Tesla and so on never did the things they did, would those things I mentioned exist? They might if someone else thought of them or more efficient production methods. I worte something on this awhile back, hopefully I'll be able to find it.

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Benjamin
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Posted: 23rd Jun 2012 21:42
Quote: "A powerful and influential civilization"


What's the point in living in a powerful and influential civilization if there is nothing to enjoy? What's the point in life if there's nothing to enjoy?



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Michael P
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Posted: 24th Jun 2012 12:16 Edited at: 24th Jun 2012 16:17
Why do you think the gold standard or bit coins solves our problems? I don't think the problems we're facing are much to do with money supply.

The gold standard doesn't work well in practice, that's why we moved off it. It means that we have no central influence of inflation. Deflation is extremely damaging to economies, as is excessive inflation which is why all progressed economies have controls over it.

The problems of 2007 happened because of sub prime mortgages. These were rated AAA by rating agencies which meant that it was perceived by traders that there was no chance of default i.e. any money put into these instruments would always come back.

Sub prime mortgages involved lending money to people who probably can't pay it back, and if they don't pay it back, you receive whatever payments they made up until they defaulted + their property. If house prices don't fall then you sell the property and make a profit regardless.

In 2007 house prices started to fall for the first time in many years which meant that trillions of dollars worth of sub prime mortgages went bad. This caused the collapse of major financial institutions and as a result governments were forced to pump money into the banks to keep them going.

Now we are faced with the growing issue of sovereign debt, because this money didn't come out of thin air, it was borrowed.

The euro zone is the new problem. Several of the economies, notably Greece, spent many years borrowing money and spending it freely, then hiding the scale of their debt problems. If they weren't in the euro zone this wouldn't be such a huge problem. The problem is that for a shared currency to work all economies must be similar, so Greece (and others) are literally dragging down the entire euro zone. If Greece had its own currency its currency would devalue and its exports would become cheaper and imports more expensive allowing its economy to re-align. This realignment process would be painful, but it would be more contained without spreading so quickly throughout Europe.

I read some posts on 'creation of debt'. It feels to me that people are suggesting debt itself is the problem. So if I want to buy a house then how can I afford this in the short term without borrowing money?

Debt is good, every modern economy needs debt to function. Without debt, only the super rich can have influence over the economy, investing in businesses, buying up property.

As mentioned earlier, in 2007 debt was mismanaged. There were 3 major faults:
1. People took out these loans, without thinking whether they could pay them back.
2. Banks gave out these loans assuming that they would never go bad. The loans were structured misleadingly i.e. for first x years interest rate is very low, then after that it increases substantially.
3. Rating agencies rated these loans AAA, which was just plain wrong.

Right now the issue is confidence. People arn't spending their money, they are saving it. Banks arn't investing enough of this saved money, because they don't have confidence and are acutely aware that they are not 'too big to fail', and most EU banks have exposure to the euro zone crisis.

Fear is contagious and right now people are scared. Once confidence is restored, things will go back to normal.

Matty H
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Posted: 25th Jun 2012 13:52
I agree with everything Michael P said, it is all true and it is also the general consensus amongst most people.

I think you can dig a little deeper though. The money supply doubled the same time house prices doubled, it is my view that these house prices(and therefore the money/debt backing them) is completely illegitimate.

All this lending was highly inflationary, straight into house prices, it's not hard to make the link that most money is created via mortgages, and it was property that inflated over this period.

If banks were restricted on credit creation then there would be a hard limit in what they could lend, at the moment they can pretty much lend whatever they want whether they have the money or not, all they need to do is find a debtor. They do have some limitations but they are very soft and there are ways around most of these limits.

Debt is good, but this system of debt expanding the money supply is highly volatile.

With this system the taxpayer will always have to guarantee our bank deposits for the simple reason that the money is not actually there. It's win win for the banks and austerity for everyone else.

the_winch
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Posted: 25th Jun 2012 20:51 Edited at: 25th Jun 2012 20:51
Quote: "If banks were restricted on credit creation then there would be a hard limit in what they could lend, at the moment they can pretty much lend whatever they want whether they have the money or not, all they need to do is find a debtor. They do have some limitations but they are very soft and there are ways around most of these limits."


Either the number of units of money grows or each unit of money is worth more.

If your economy is dependant on huge amounts of foreign trade controlling the rate of inflation isn't so much desirable as a requirement for survival.

By way of demonstration, he emitted a batlike squeak that was indeed bothersome.
Nateholio
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Posted: 25th Jun 2012 21:58
Quote: "I don't think the problems we're facing are much to do with money supply."

They have everything (figure of speech) to do with money supply. Prices are going up, gov'ts are printing more fiat, paper has been decoupled from metal, the value of commodities relative to each other has stayed pretty constant. When you account for supply/demand, you see that prices spiked a bit in the 1930s and then a lot in the 60s/70s. In the 30s, gold was removed as currency and we got the Bretton Woods agreement later. In the 70's the US completely abandoned backing currency with precious metals. This caused other nations to abandon the agreement.

The big mistake people make is thinking prices are going up. This isn't true over the long term. What is happening is what I've been saying over and over in this thread.

In Development: K96 - Combat Simulation
Keep your Hope and Change, I choose individual Liberty!

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